Quarterly-Fate
0x78c9f2ecd9709b9ff92ed764f54fd244100dd2ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-265.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 22?
185 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.41
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 16?
176 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 16?
169 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on April 5?
149 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- YES
Will Ethena dip to $0.08 in May?
149 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.23
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on March 12?
141 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on March 11?
134 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.68
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 23, 3AM ET
131 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.84
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on January 17?
125 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.63
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 9-15?
109 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethena dip to $0.08 in May?$2.38May 31, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 25?$33.56May 25, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 25?$31.55May 24, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 24?$2.25May 24, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 23?$2.24May 22, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 22?$2.58May 21, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 14?$36.06May 14, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 14?$34.11May 14, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 26?$0.00May 2, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.40 on April 25?$2.86Apr 26, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 16?$36.65Apr 26, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 16?$0.09Apr 15, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 16?$35.39Apr 15, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on January 23?$0.00Apr 14, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 12?$2.50Apr 12, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 on April 5?$2.09Apr 6, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on March 28?$35.61Apr 6, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 23?$0.00Mar 31, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $130 on January 22?$0.00Mar 29, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on March 28?$34.15Mar 28, 05:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $18.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 02:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 09:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".