Fearless-Wasabi
0x78cdf08a701e840dc35359823aabf157c64f450c
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$175.17
Total PnL
$-11.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
667 shares @ 39.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$130.09
$-129.91
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
1124 shares @ 8.9¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.82
$-56.18
- YES
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
34 shares @ 43.0¢·now 3.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.26
$-13.44
- YES
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
30000 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-540.00
- YES
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
20743 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
14286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?
14227 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.8K
- YES
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
6592 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
3461 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-796.00
- YES
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?
1471 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$15.04May 11, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$266.35May 11, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$104.55May 11, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.1KMar 15, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$73.00Mar 15, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?$100.00Feb 21, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$100.00Feb 17, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nebius say "Cash" during earnings call?$3.94Feb 12, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nebius say "Cash" during earnings call?$267.90Feb 12, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$48.60Feb 7, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$51.29Feb 7, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$20.00Jan 29, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMEverton FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5$20.13Jan 29, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEverton FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 3.5$15.80Jan 26, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nebius say "Neocloud" during earnings call?$250.00Jan 25, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nebius say "Cash" during earnings call?$250.00Jan 25, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?$500.00Jan 25, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$964.65Jan 25, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$400.00Jan 25, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$3.07Jan 25, 08:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $422.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 10:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 16:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.