Gummy-Grabbag
0x78cf186403ad3b20479b3f1651db0b87bdd8bef6
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-233.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?
668 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-77.00
- YES
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
370 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-40.08
- YES
Will the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?
269 shares @ 31.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-85.57
- YES
Will the CDU/CSU win more than 34% of the vote in the German election?
197 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the CDU/CSU win between 32% and 34% of the vote in the German election?
107 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will the CDU/CSU win between 26% and 28% of the vote in the German election?
102 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$40.08Feb 23, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win between 26% and 28% of the vote in the German election?$10.00Feb 23, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?$25.00Feb 23, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win more than 34% of the vote in the German election?$5.00Feb 23, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win between 32% and 34% of the vote in the German election?$16.00Feb 23, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?$78.56Feb 23, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?$52.00Feb 23, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win between 22% and 24% of the vote in the German election?$7.01Feb 23, 15:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $29.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 15:37 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 16:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".