General-Refreshments
0x78d1ed8ee79be4a49b0fbc210deb10cee1602ff7
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$14.02
Total PnL
$-10.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Russia military clash by December 31?
3 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.48
$0.14
- NO
US defaults on debt in 2025?
3 shares @ 96.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.44
$0.13
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?
3 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.40
$0.08
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
2 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.42
$0.08
- NO
Will Trump jail Elon Musk?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.28
$0.06
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
20400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-10.2K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $150 in October?$1.03Nov 13, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $350 in October?$1.03Nov 13, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?$1.07Nov 13, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?$1.17Nov 13, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft have the best AI model on October 31?$1.27Nov 13, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot have the best AI model on October 31?$1.27Nov 13, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the top AI model on October 31?$1.27Nov 13, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $120 in October?$1.27Nov 13, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the top AI model on October 31?$1.28Nov 13, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?$1.28Nov 13, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200k in October?$1.28Nov 13, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?$1.28Nov 13, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in October?$1.28Nov 13, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.35Nov 13, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tencent have the best AI model on October 31?$1.37Nov 13, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in October?$1.37Nov 13, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot have the top AI model on October 31?$1.37Nov 13, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $70k in October?$1.37Nov 13, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best AI model on October 31?$1.38Nov 13, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on November 7?$19.28Nov 13, 13:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $2.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 6, 13:14 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 13, 13:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.