Wallet digest

active

Activity score

78/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$4.94

Total PnL

$-38.98

Realised

$2.53

Win rate

100%

4 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 23

DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
5 shares @ 37.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026
$4.94
$3.07
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
7 shares @ 35.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026
$0.00
$-2.47
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
6 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026
$0.00
$-3.45
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
6 shares @ 40.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026
$0.00
$-2.47
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
6 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026
$0.00
$-2.46
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-2.46
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026
$0.00
$-2.46
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
5 shares @ 50.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026
$0.00
$-2.61
DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-2.46
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
5 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026
$0.00
$-1.97

Recent activity

TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$2.87Feb 19, 00:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$2.75Feb 19, 00:30 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$1.36Feb 18, 23:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$3.00Feb 18, 23:47 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$2.83Feb 18, 23:22 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$2.50Feb 18, 23:16 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$1.17Feb 18, 22:37 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$2.20Feb 18, 22:33 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$5.86Feb 18, 22:11 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$4.62Feb 18, 22:08 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$0.68Feb 18, 20:50 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$2.50Feb 18, 20:49 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$2.63Feb 18, 20:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$2.50Feb 18, 20:47 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$1.80Feb 18, 20:04 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$4.05Feb 18, 20:00 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$3.04Feb 18, 19:22 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$2.50Feb 18, 19:22 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$3.33Feb 18, 19:18 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$2.50Feb 18, 19:15 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity43 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence13 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry100 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk70 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 50
Avg trade size: $2.81
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Feb 18, 12:15 UTC
Last active: Feb 19, 00:31 UTC
Win rate sample: 4 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 19:21:50 UTC·src:Polymarket Data