Idolized-Chaos
0x78d684b4436ffb529b9b7a3577c69abc456eac5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$10.64
Total PnL
$1.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$5.19Jun 27, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end October 10-14?$7.69May 18, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$51.36May 18, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$51.00Jan 27, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 10-14?$5.00Oct 3, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 195–209 times July 11–18?$4.00Jul 17, 13:52 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$0.00Jul 17, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?$0.00Jul 17, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$0.00Jul 17, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $200 in June?$60.14Jun 19, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $200 in June?$60.39Jun 19, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?$18.00Apr 19, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$28.33Apr 19, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$42.00Mar 12, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$33.71Mar 12, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?$17.00Jan 6, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$30.00Dec 23, 10:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Utah Hockey Club win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$105.34Dec 23, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Utah Hockey Club win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$105.45Dec 23, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?$44.00Nov 24, 07:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $83.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 07:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 27, 15:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.