Partial-Chamber
0x78d86f342032d2743f1d3424e53b1cdfff83660d
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$14.74
Total PnL
$4.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?$0.00Feb 24, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$10.00Feb 24, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?$13.85Feb 24, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?$13.70Feb 10, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$13.70Feb 10, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$13.34Feb 9, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMLitecoin ETF approved by July 31?$3.53Feb 5, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5AM ET$9.00Jul 16, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5AM ET$8.10Jul 16, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 11?$2.91Jul 11, 07:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 11?$1.00Jul 11, 06:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on July 11?$5.00Jul 11, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 11?$6.63Jul 10, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on July 1?$4.99Jul 1, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11AM ET$1.34Jul 1, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 11AM ET$1.00Jul 1, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 1?$1.24Jul 1, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 1?$3.15Jul 1, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal before July?$2.50Jul 1, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1PM ET$0.00Jun 25, 06:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $7.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 22:23 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 24, 03:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.