Academic-Mobility
0x78db946f19b411870debc08b6e82c9625e506460
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$56.28
Total PnL
$-9.35
Realised
$-4.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
51 shares @ 59.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$50.47
$20.47
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.03
$2.03
- YES
Grok 4.20 released by February 28?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
13 shares @ 32.4¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.73
$-3.55
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.54
$-0.46
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
10 shares @ 12.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.45
$-0.75
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
73 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.99
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
29 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.50Mar 11, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$10.00Mar 2, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$2.00Mar 2, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$5.00Mar 2, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$30.00Mar 2, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$4.00Feb 21, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.29Feb 21, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.25Feb 21, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.00Feb 21, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.20Feb 21, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport less than 250,000?$0.05Feb 20, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.50Feb 19, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$10.76Feb 18, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$10.00Feb 18, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.80Feb 18, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.45Feb 18, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$2.85Feb 18, 07:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$9.01Feb 18, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?$10.00Feb 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$5.00Feb 15, 20:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 08:19 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 12:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.