Quarterly-Cup
0x78dcaa222bff1b73e84ef0755ccb86c84f1408a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$405.10
Total PnL
$-4.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Trump out as President by May 31?
321 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$319.84
$-0.16
- NO
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
86 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 26, 2026$85.26
$0.26
- YES
Will Elon tweet 295 or more times June 13–20?
720 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$85.04May 17, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$79.98May 17, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$80.02May 15, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by May 31?$320.00May 15, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$48.10May 15, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?$133.26May 15, 07:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$143.29May 15, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$48.00Apr 25, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 14?$124.12Apr 25, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?$133.00Apr 14, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 14?$124.00Apr 14, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$143.00Apr 14, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$65.79Apr 14, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$300.60Apr 14, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$65.00Mar 17, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$300.00Mar 1, 10:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$200.20Mar 1, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on February 5?$200.20Mar 1, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$200.00Feb 4, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on February 5?$200.00Feb 4, 14:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $154.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 6, 15:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 05:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".