Proud-Trim
0x78ec76fd28e553f533c1262c9fad7295e9f672ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-308.39
Realised
$-122.54
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 4?
21839 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-21.82
- NO
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-20.34
- NO
Grok 4.4 released by July 8?
9443 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-14.43
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.99
- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.99
- NO
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31?
1141 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.52
- NO
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?
755 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UNDER
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on July 6?
432 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.97
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?
236 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADESELLTrump signs housing bill by end of July?$5.00Jul 12, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump signs housing bill by end of July?$11.06Jul 12, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$33.32Jul 10, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$20.00Jul 10, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$7.50Jul 10, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$7.13Jul 10, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$1.02Jul 10, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$15.04Jul 10, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$8.70Jul 10, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump signs housing bill by end of July?$0.72Jul 10, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump signs housing bill by end of July?$25.98Jul 10, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump signs housing bill by end of July?$20.88Jul 10, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$4.00Jul 10, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$81.40Jul 10, 15:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$24.71Jul 10, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?$7.28Jul 10, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$40.70Jul 10, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$12.00Jul 10, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$9.27Jul 10, 00:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.02Jul 10, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $18.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 14:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 03:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.