Vain-Pond
0x78f0c486a27ab824f737ac7c746c11aa4cb68710
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$97.04
Total PnL
$1.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
9 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$9.30
$0.30
- NO
Stable FDV above $6B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$6.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?
6 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$6.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
5 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$5.08
$0.08
- NO
Will GoWish - Your Digital Wishlist be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
5 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$5.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$5.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 November 17-23?
5 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$5.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$5.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStable FDV above $6B one day after launch?$6.00Dec 8, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?$4.00Nov 20, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$4.00Nov 20, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 137m?$4.00Nov 20, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?$5.00Nov 20, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Gap (GAP) beat quarterly earnings?$4.00Nov 20, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$5.00Nov 20, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?$5.00Nov 20, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?$4.00Nov 20, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir (PLTR) close at >$202 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?$5.00Nov 20, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of November 17 above $205?$4.00Nov 20, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% in 2025?$4.00Nov 20, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$5.00Nov 20, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$5.00Nov 20, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$6.00Nov 20, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 November 17-23?$5.00Nov 20, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?$6.00Nov 20, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?$5.00Nov 20, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BigFuture School be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?$5.00Nov 20, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GoWish - Your Digital Wishlist be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?$5.00Nov 20, 10:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $4.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 20, 10:04 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 8, 13:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".