Finished-Evaluator
0x7907230861ce9d8a878ab10141f3a80c1643d151
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$16.74
Total PnL
$-24.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
7 shares @ 66.9¢·now 78.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$5.84
$0.84
- NO
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 29.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.24
$1.24
- NO
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.29
$0.29
- NO
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
4 shares @ 51.2¢·now 48.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.87
$-0.13
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31?
24 shares @ 4.2¢·now 5.2¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.24
$0.24
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7?
2 shares @ 90.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$1.02
$-0.98
- MANANCHAYA SAWANGKAEW
Vancouver: Taylah Preston vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew
41 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 21?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLThe Memphis Classic: Elvina Kalieva vs Peyton Stearns$7.15Jul 31, 23:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$9.11Jul 31, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLSan Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro$6.48Jul 31, 21:51 UTC
- TRADESELLMubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen$3.32Jul 31, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYVancouver: Taylah Preston vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew$1.05Jul 31, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLMubadala Citi DC Open: Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila Samsonova$3.45Jul 31, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYThe Memphis Classic: Elvina Kalieva vs Peyton Stearns$3.09Jul 31, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila Samsonova$2.09Jul 31, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen$3.05Jul 31, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro$2.04Jul 31, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Marino: Vilius Gaubas vs Thiago Monteiro$2.04Jul 31, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7?$2.01Jul 31, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31?$1.05Jul 31, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31?$1.04Jul 31, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?$2.05Jul 31, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?$5.08Jul 31, 21:33 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?$1.33Jul 30, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?$1.23Jul 29, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$1.15Jul 28, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$3.47Jul 27, 22:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 23:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 23:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.