Limping-Waist
0x7907344fb1d0df90c047881e568f637295ebaa3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$27.42
Total PnL
$-20.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.00
$10.00
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.42
$2.42
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45-50 million views on day 1?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Russia enter Siversk by November 30?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
23 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?
17 shares @ 23.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?$2.80Nov 24, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$7.96Nov 24, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?$3.45Nov 20, 15:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Bayern München end in a draw?$0.00Nov 18, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC St. Pauli vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?$0.00Nov 18, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC St. Pauli win on 2025-09-14?$3.85Nov 18, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMTyler Robinson charged in Kirk shooting?$0.00Nov 18, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?$0.00Nov 18, 23:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?$0.00Nov 18, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Nov 18, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Siversk by November 30?$2.00Nov 18, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?$2.00Nov 18, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?$3.00Nov 5, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$0.26Oct 23, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?$1.00Oct 11, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?$1.00Oct 11, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?$1.00Oct 11, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela by December 31?$1.00Oct 11, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by December 31?$1.00Oct 11, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?$1.00Oct 11, 10:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 14, 14:10 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 24, 21:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.