Teeming-Ironclad
0x79089bf77ae6f1a2f049ca043e7c9c906ecf75f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$60.32
Total PnL
$-789.78
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Trump win 30% of Black men?
31 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$31.25
$6.25
- NO
Trump wins a solid blue state?
29 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$29.07
$4.07
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1410 shares @ 42.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-600.23
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
167 shares @ 59.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House
71 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Kamala Harris blowout victory?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Republican candidate win Iowa by 2.0-3.0%?
48 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.87
- NO
Will Trump win Texas by 10+ points?
36 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election?
36 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?
34 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican candidate win Iowa by 2.0-3.0%? $2.87Nov 5, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?$11.00Nov 5, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins every swing state?$11.00Nov 5, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$100.00Nov 5, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win Texas by 10+ points?$25.00Nov 4, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 30% of Black men?$25.00Nov 4, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins a solid blue state?$25.00Nov 4, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYRecord turnout in 2024 Presidential election?$20.00Nov 4, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House$20.00Nov 4, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris blowout victory?$10.00Nov 4, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$250.00Nov 4, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$151.23Nov 3, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$100.00Oct 26, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$99.00Oct 17, 14:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $60.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 17, 14:07 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 12:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.