0x79098ca1514cf2a178a48d0b71e065615dc0cdaa
0x79098ca1514cf2a178a48d0b71e065615dc0cdaa
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $85m and $95m opening weekend?
497 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2024$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Bernie Sanders win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
445 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.45
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times?
125 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?
109 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-0.22
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Quinn Ewers win the Heisman Trophy?$0.11Dec 12, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 130,000,000-135,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.25Dec 12, 12:35 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 2-3%?$0.38Dec 12, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Noah Fifita win the Heisman Trophy?$0.11Dec 7, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 130,000,000-135,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.25Dec 7, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 175,000,000 or more votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.09Dec 5, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 1-2%?$0.11Dec 4, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Quinn Ewers win the Heisman Trophy?$0.11Dec 3, 16:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 170,000,000-175,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.11Dec 1, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Noah Fifita win the Heisman Trophy?$0.11Nov 30, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 170,000,000-175,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.11Nov 30, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 1-2%?$0.11Nov 30, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 175,000,000 or more votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?$0.09Nov 30, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $140,000 in November?$0.22Nov 30, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 2-3%?$0.38Nov 29, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AOC win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 4, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AOC win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.01Nov 4, 16:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill AOC win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.32Nov 4, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.23Oct 18, 23:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Phil Foden win the Ballon d’Or?$0.38Sep 30, 18:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $0.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 9, 17:19 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 12, 22:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.