Active-Goodness
0x790a9b267739b1ac1e85363769763911d77bd55f
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$15.70
Total PnL
$-18.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
4 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$4.39
$1.23
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
4 shares @ 71.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$4.21
$1.22
- NO
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
4 shares @ 41.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$3.61
$2.10
- YES
Ethereum above $2,500 on July 11?
2 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$2.06
$0.66
- NO
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$1.44
$0.39
- NO
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
54 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 17?
6 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.51
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
6 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 17?$2.51Jul 17, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.99Jul 16, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?$3.16Jul 9, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$3.07Jul 9, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,500 on July 11?$1.40Jul 7, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?$1.05Jul 3, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $110K on June 11 at 5 PM ET?$0.00Jun 26, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on June 10?$0.00Jun 26, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$0.00Jun 26, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$9.62Jun 26, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $110K on June 11 at 5 PM ET?$2.07Jun 11, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.51Jun 10, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on June 10?$1.97Jun 10, 11:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.53May 30, 02:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$11.85May 30, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$7.65May 12, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$6.40May 12, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$2.06May 11, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?$5.70May 5, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$18.48May 3, 21:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $5.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 11:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 06:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.