Annual-Bibliography
0x792439fd729770342e2556f42184d4621582b0fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-416.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa not shake hands on November 10 2025?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 10?
1575 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-12.42
- YES
Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for 15 seconds or more on November 10 2025?
570 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-11.50
- MEXICO
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
300 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 5?
230 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-35.23
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 4?
194 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.12
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
180 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.86
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?
120 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-81.60
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?
120 shares @ 63.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-76.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 9?
86 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Morocco end in a draw?$3.98Jul 6, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMexico vs. England: Team to Advance$91.89Jul 6, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win on 2026-07-03?$4.97Jul 3, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: United States O/U 2.5 AND Will United States win on 2026-07-01? AND United States to score first vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina?$20.75Jul 2, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMBelgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance$20.00Jul 2, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance$11.04Jul 1, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$0.99Jul 1, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$2.98Jul 1, 21:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30?$15.90Jul 1, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-30?$7.60Jul 1, 02:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.64Feb 14, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.79Feb 14, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$1.00Feb 13, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.00Feb 13, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$2.21Feb 13, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$0.00Feb 13, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.59Feb 13, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$1.00Feb 13, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$1.00Feb 13, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$1.00Feb 13, 17:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $7.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 05:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 03:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.