Insecure-Concept
0x792a6bb496ea5e17d43f7391c7ac44bfba28b16d
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-456.49
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
12584 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-62.92
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
11320 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-11.32
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
4957 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?
3640 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-109.63
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
3520 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.52
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
3341 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-323.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
2249 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-46.97
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 5?
1225 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-96.42
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$349.97Apr 12, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$288.73Apr 12, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$3.52Mar 24, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$10.00Mar 24, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$10.00Mar 24, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1.32Mar 24, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$20.00Mar 24, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$10.00Mar 24, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$46.97Mar 24, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?$5.00Mar 23, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?$5.00Mar 23, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?$5.00Mar 23, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?$4.66Mar 23, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?$0.31Mar 23, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?$60.00Mar 23, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?$19.19Mar 23, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?$3.00Mar 23, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?$7.20Mar 23, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?$0.28Mar 23, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$62.92Mar 18, 08:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $70.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 09:36 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 19:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.