Plastic-Perception
0x792b29288c1495ea28035668cbb1fe36522ce3df
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$14.36
Total PnL
$-45.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 July 13-19?
96 shares @ 5.2¢·now 11.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.11
$6.11
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.88
$0.88
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
15 shares @ 6.7¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.67
$-0.33
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
2025 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
126 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
117 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on July 14?
74 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
63 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$1.07Jul 15, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$1.07Jul 15, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$1.07Jul 15, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$1.06Jul 15, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.07Jul 15, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.07Jul 15, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.07Jul 15, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.07Jul 15, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.07Jul 15, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,100 July 13-19?$5.33Jul 15, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$21.96Jul 15, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$18.23Jul 15, 08:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$6.27Jul 15, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$5.16Jul 15, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05Jul 15, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$0.00Jul 15, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.06Jul 15, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$2.08Jul 15, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$2.07Jul 15, 08:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.06Jul 15, 08:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $2.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 07:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 13:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.