Hidden-Particular
0x792b2af5ea04bbb01a05d508bbcf6c0e08319bd1
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-8.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?
440 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$440.00
$0.88
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
430 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$430.00
$0.86
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
340 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$340.00
$0.68
- NO
Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?
549 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.23
- YES
Will Kevin Yu win the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship?
300 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 15?
261 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-4.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$339.32Mar 30, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$429.14Mar 28, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?$409.18Mar 28, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?$409.59Mar 28, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of March?$439.12Mar 26, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?$4.24Mar 24, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of December 15 above $250?$550.00Mar 19, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of December 15 above $250?$549.45Dec 19, 11:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 28?$420.35Dec 12, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 28?$419.58Nov 26, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,200 November 3-9?$360.00Nov 13, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,200 November 3-9?$359.28Nov 7, 18:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the second best AI model on October 31?$420.00Nov 3, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the second best AI model on October 31?$419.58Oct 30, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?$168.64Oct 29, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?$240.00Oct 29, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$280.00Oct 29, 03:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $120,000 September 22-28?$300.00Oct 29, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?$168.64Oct 26, 10:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on October 15?$4.68Oct 15, 10:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $203.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 05:57 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 30, 11:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.