Realistic-Tog
0x792b54cba530b601350e596ac93c79d3297cbfb6
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$28.59
Total PnL
$-128.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on May 2?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$2.65
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 2?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$2.10
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 2?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$1.99
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 2?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$1.88
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or below on May 2?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$1.71
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on May 2?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 2, 2026$1.66
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C or below on May 2?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$1.60
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C or higher on May 2?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$1.58
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 2?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$1.55
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on May 2?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$1.50
$0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 2?$2.081d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 2?$1.981d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on May 2?$2.641d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 2?$1.341d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C or higher on May 2?$1.341d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 2?$1.881d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C or higher on May 2?$1.571d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 2?$1.161d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on May 2?$1.541d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 2?$1.321d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or below on May 2?$1.701d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on May 2?$1.661d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on May 2?$1.441d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on May 2?$1.321d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on May 2?$1.251d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on May 2?$1.201d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on May 2?$1.501d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C or below on May 2?$1.601d ago
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.351d ago
- REWARD$1.1311d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 114d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".