Hard-Silly
0x7930a413b8c296d02335c655fc21effdb832d1bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-138.29
Realised
$-12.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 22?
100 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-44.98
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 22?
80 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-3.36
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 25?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 27?
31 shares @ 52.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-16.26
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 28?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 29?
30 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-19.30
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 26?
19 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- PENGUINS
Penguins vs. Flyers
9 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-3.94
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Trump" during earnings call?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-4.95
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$0.19Oct 31, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 29?$19.30Oct 28, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 28?$3.00Oct 28, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 28?$19.80Oct 28, 15:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 28?$2.50Oct 28, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Flyers$3.94Oct 28, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$14.00Oct 28, 06:33 UTC
- REDEEMMagic vs. 76ers$17.95Oct 28, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Pistons$0.00Oct 27, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 27?$16.26Oct 27, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 28?$15.00Oct 27, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. 76ers$7.00Oct 27, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMCeltics vs. Pistons$7.14Oct 27, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMCowboys vs. Broncos$13.45Oct 27, 05:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 27?$17.66Oct 27, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYCowboys vs. Broncos$10.76Oct 26, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBears vs. Ravens$10.62Oct 26, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCeltics vs. Pistons$4.00Oct 26, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBears vs. Ravens$5.00Oct 26, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 28?$10.00Oct 26, 16:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $13.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 21, 05:38 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 31, 09:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".