Optimal-Middleman
0x7933cd265c83ba0e8b6a5dda1c0a34aa1de992b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$3.63
Total PnL
$-151.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
22 shares @ 18.2¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.63
$-0.34
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
54 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
27 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
27 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
26 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
24 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
24 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
23 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.07May 19, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$4.09May 19, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?$2.00Apr 18, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?$5.00Apr 18, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)$3.00Apr 17, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$4.00Apr 17, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$3.00Apr 1, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$3.00Mar 31, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$3.00Mar 31, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$6.10Mar 31, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$5.00Mar 30, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$3.00Mar 30, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$5.00Mar 30, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$13.27Mar 20, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$5.00Mar 19, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$5.00Mar 19, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$5.00Mar 18, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$5.00Mar 18, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$5.00Mar 16, 19:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?$10.00Mar 16, 19:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $5.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 21:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 22:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".