Legal-Curve
0x793d856e69ca2f1ce250e5b9355cd565acab11f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Stupid" during Iowa speech?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Midterm Election" during Iowa speech?
104 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
14 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.42
- YES
Will Trump say "Davos" or "World Economic Forum" during Iowa speech?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
5 shares @ 55.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.68
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Israel on March 6?$1.00Mar 11, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$2.42Feb 23, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$1.00Feb 10, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?$1.00Feb 9, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$3.41Feb 5, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$1.00Feb 5, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$1.00Feb 5, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$1.00Feb 5, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$2.68Jan 30, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Buy a Dell Computer" during remarks on January 28?$11.68Jan 29, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Buy a Dell Computer" during remarks on January 28?$9.46Jan 28, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$0.88Jan 28, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Stupid" during Iowa speech?$5.58Jan 28, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Stupid" during Iowa speech?$1.00Jan 28, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Midterm Election" during Iowa speech?$1.00Jan 27, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Davos" or "World Economic Forum" during Iowa speech?$1.00Jan 27, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Stupid" during Iowa speech?$1.51Jan 27, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Midterm Election" during Iowa speech?$1.00Jan 27, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.00Jan 21, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Boeing" during WEF Address on January 21?$1.00Jan 21, 15:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 12:22 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 12:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.