Elementary-Emergence
0x7943306d73da965d7f45cd3663d7b59123a4b918
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
63
Open notional
$105.83
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1563 shares @ 1.6¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$35.16
$10.16
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
157 shares @ 13.4¢·now 16.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$25.31
$4.31
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
128 shares @ 13.6¢·now 14.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.00
$1.50
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
217 shares @ 9.2¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.07
$-2.93
- YES
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
73 shares @ 13.7¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.47
$-4.53
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
73 shares @ 19.6¢·now 5.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.83
$-10.46
- YES
Will Hillary say "President" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony?
1495 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 2?
1200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
1188 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-48.00
- YES
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?
1025 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-33.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$39.13May 26, 14:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $39.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.