Mysterious-Industrialization
0x79444b9f5abc9f433251736812eea7a06b314f13
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-309.90
Realised
$-4.80
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 24?
630 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.08
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 25?
546 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $74,000 on February 6?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- TEAM FALCONS
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3)
246 shares @ 40.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-100.59
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 27?
99 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
96 shares @ 95.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-92.26
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 31?
80 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- TEAM FALCONS
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
73 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 31?
70 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.12
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 29?
50 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-17.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Think about" during meeting with Netanyahu?$1.00Feb 11, 07:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$1.02Feb 11, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$22.62Feb 11, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$22.95Feb 11, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$30.19Feb 11, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 10?$1.60Feb 10, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 10?$7.02Feb 10, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 10?$3.78Feb 10, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on February 9?$18.20Feb 9, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 9?$14.20Feb 9, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on February 9?$31.20Feb 9, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on February 9?$4.16Feb 9, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on February 9?$8.32Feb 9, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on February 9?$8.32Feb 9, 07:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2,000 on February 7?$20.00Feb 8, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2,000 on February 7?$13.20Feb 6, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $74,000 on February 6?$5.00Feb 6, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLNevada Wolf Pack vs. Boise State Broncos$19.98Feb 4, 05:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYNevada Wolf Pack vs. Boise State Broncos$17.34Feb 4, 03:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $76,000 on February 5?$7.14Feb 4, 03:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $8.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 03:04 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 11, 07:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.