0x794d803f7dd6c539868218237df460b61140e530
0x794d803f7dd6c539868218237df460b61140e530
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$146.61
Total PnL
$-22.95
Realised
$-21.96
Win rate
77%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election?
135 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$135.00
$0.13
- NO
Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?
5 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$5.00
$0.11
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in US?
2 shares @ 95.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$1.61
$0.07
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?
11 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-0.06
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $118K on August 13?
6 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-0.06
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?
5 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.06
- YES
Will Trump announce Roger W. Ferguson Jr. as next Fed Chair in 2025?
5 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Will Jude Bellingham win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
5 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-0.01
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?
5 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$0.01Sep 2, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.03Sep 2, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$0.01Sep 2, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?$0.01Sep 2, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Victor Ponta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$0.01Sep 2, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $250 in August?$3.29Sep 2, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.05Sep 2, 12:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 18, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?$1.10Aug 17, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?$1.70Aug 17, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana all time high before 2026?$2.85Aug 17, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?$2.45Aug 17, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next James Bond be British?$0.95Aug 17, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?$1.25Aug 17, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? $1.25Aug 17, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$0.90Aug 17, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?$4.65Aug 17, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election called in 2025?$3.70Aug 17, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Joe Flacco start Week 1 for the Browns?$0.85Aug 17, 21:54 UTC
- TRADESELLPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?$1.20Aug 17, 21:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 21:49 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 2, 12:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".