Poor-Gutter
0x7967ded7c72e2fa03d732f5a5e21667f1741f4a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
190
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-187.3K
Realised
$-2.1K
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 190- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100000 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.7K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by January 31, 2025?
53695 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.1K
- YES
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?
50000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110K and $112K on May 30?
47228 shares @ 14.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.9K
- NO
Israel military action against Iran before July?
36000 shares @ 56.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.3K
- YES
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 20?
34028 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
29143 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 23?
26207 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2025$0.00
$-4.2K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $105K and $107K on June 10?
24500 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2025$0.00
$-4.5K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on June 6?
20422 shares @ 22.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2025$0.00
$-4.6K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.14Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$10.61Jul 21, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.5KJul 20, 11:58 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?$5.0KJul 19, 22:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.13Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$12.35Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?$1.5KJul 18, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?$984.96Jul 18, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First Half$700.00Jul 18, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$2.0KJul 18, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$5.10Jul 18, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$2.4KJul 18, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$3.54Jul 18, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$5.20Jul 18, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$11.34Jul 18, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$1.0KJul 18, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 0 - 2 England?$5.37Jul 18, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 0 - 2 England?$46.41Jul 18, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 0 - 2 England?$1.24Jul 18, 21:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $769.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.