0x79697d33ec1c567573ea006d89439468d5b09fec
0x79697d33ec1c567573ea006d89439468d5b09fec
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$94.71
Total PnL
$-610.78
Realised
$-68.48
Win rate
15%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
203 shares @ 12.5¢·now 11.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$23.30
$-2.02
- NO
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?
260 shares @ 10.8¢·now 7.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$18.23
$-10.00
- YES
Will there be 4-5 Rampages at The International 2026?
30 shares @ 52.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$14.75
$-0.74
- YES
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?
12 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$10.97
$0.59
- YES
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
47 shares @ 33.9¢·now 23.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$10.88
$-5.18
- NO
Will Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?
10 shares @ 64.9¢·now 77.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$8.01
$1.26
- NO
Will HULIGANI have the shallowest hero pool at the International 2026?
81 shares @ 9.8¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.91
$-5.03
- YES
Will Riz Ahmed – “Bait” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?
35 shares @ 17.2¢·now 7.5¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$2.60
$-3.37
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the MA-02 House seat?
32 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.78
$-0.16
- NO
Will Jean Smart – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a comedy series?
26 shares @ 17.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$0.88
$-3.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?$12.00Aug 17, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?$8.07Aug 17, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?$5.98Aug 17, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?$4.41Aug 17, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Paraná?$8.16Aug 17, 17:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HULIGANI have the shallowest hero pool at the International 2026?$5.21Aug 17, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HULIGANI have the shallowest hero pool at the International 2026?$1.60Aug 17, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 4-5 Rampages at The International 2026?$7.30Aug 17, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 4-5 Rampages at The International 2026?$8.19Aug 17, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?$4.03Aug 17, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?$1.95Aug 17, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?$1.49Aug 17, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of August 17 2026?$5.80Aug 17, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 17?$14.69Aug 17, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jynxzi Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?$13.12Aug 17, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 17?$15.08Aug 17, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?$27.54Aug 17, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?$6.57Aug 17, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HULIGANI have the shallowest hero pool at the International 2026?$1.13Aug 17, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?$1.95Aug 17, 13:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
15% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 02:32 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 19:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.