False-Poll
0x796ca03e2230be00f8373ca8dcc2266f79a2a470
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$68.94
Total PnL
$-4.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?
50 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$50.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
10 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$10.11
$0.11
- NO
Will gas hit (Low) $3.00 by April 30?
7 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.08
$0.09
- NO
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- NO
Will Trump say “Big Beautiful Bill” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?
7 shares @ 42.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump say “America / American” 35+ times during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$10.01Apr 28, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in April?$50.00Apr 28, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (Low) $3.00 by April 30?$7.00Apr 28, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$199.99Apr 28, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?$3.09Apr 28, 13:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 40m?$3.15Apr 28, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$200.00Apr 17, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?$3.00Apr 17, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 40m?$3.00Apr 17, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?$1.00Apr 17, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$51.10Dec 13, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025?$3.00Dec 13, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$51.00Sep 8, 19:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say “Million / Billion / Trillion” 15+ times during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?$2.94Sep 8, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 270 or more times June 27–July 4?$3.02Sep 8, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$27.54Sep 8, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$27.13Jul 2, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say “Million / Billion / Trillion” 15+ times during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?$1.00Jul 2, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say “America / American” 35+ times during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?$1.00Jul 2, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say “Big Beautiful Bill” during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech?$1.00Jul 2, 18:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $41.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 19, 21:31 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 13:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.