Near-Investment
0x7977b7f6199b20fdff6a4a561aff8ad417cdd5d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-26.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 23?
993 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on May 23?
905 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 23?
194 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 23?
82 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?
28 shares @ 51.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-14.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 23?
26 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
9 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 23?
9 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 23?
7 shares @ 30.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 23?$2.07May 21, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on May 23?$1.05May 21, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 23?$1.05May 21, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 23?$1.04May 21, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 23?$1.05May 21, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 23?$1.05May 21, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 23?$1.05May 21, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 23?$1.05May 21, 21:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$8.82May 21, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$3.14May 21, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$3.14May 21, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$0.00May 21, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$3.02May 21, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$3.12May 21, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$3.03May 21, 21:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.01May 21, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.02May 21, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.00May 21, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.04May 21, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$9.22May 21, 21:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $2.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 08:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 21:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.