Parallel-Yesterday-Puzzle
0x7988d9e8b070a9b0ef8896cdc3221315e594d97b
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$38.30
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
267 shares @ 73.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-196.76
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
200 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
198 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-13.87
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 6?
128 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
127 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
109 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
106 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
105 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-53.37
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
103 shares @ 96.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
91 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-11.82
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?$1.35Jul 16, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?$1.35Jul 16, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 15?$0.02Jul 15, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 15?$0.01Jul 15, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 15?$0.00Jul 15, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 15?$0.00Jul 15, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 16?$2.30Jul 15, 13:22 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$2.57Jul 15, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.93Jul 15, 11:53 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$0.09Jul 15, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$0.14Jul 15, 10:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 15?$0.32Jul 15, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$24.75Jul 15, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 15?$0.03Jul 15, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 15?$3.90Jul 15, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 15?$0.10Jul 15, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 15?$0.06Jul 15, 05:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 15?$0.12Jul 15, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 15?$8.00Jul 15, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 15?$0.15Jul 15, 04:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $12.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 11:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 02:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.