Vapid-Shade
0x798d8d1bb9d56df0025dc87049137c95097d300d
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$99.97
Total PnL
$1.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$516.98Jun 17, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$173.65Jun 17, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$171.02Jun 1, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$171.12May 31, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$683.44May 31, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BNB reach $800 in May?$98.95May 31, 04:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$782.22May 28, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$780.74May 26, 07:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?$781.00May 26, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?$779.60May 21, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$779.49May 21, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$779.10May 3, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?$578.40May 3, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?$577.86Apr 28, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$778.71Apr 26, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$766.23Apr 6, 02:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$766.22Apr 6, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?$764.69Mar 30, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$174.98Mar 26, 09:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$589.71Mar 26, 09:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $410.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 03:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 18:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.