Hoarse-Eggplant
0x798dbfde6daba749287eca10020f1334606bb6d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
111
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.9K
Realised
$-4.7K
Win rate
1%
111 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 111- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 12?
1330 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-333.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
1006 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-258.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
995 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-255.59
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
750 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
651 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-178.28
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
624 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-171.34
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
464 shares @ 25.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-120.45
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
332 shares @ 30.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-99.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
327 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-90.81
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
276 shares @ 30.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-83.10
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down on July 27?$0.00Jul 28, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 27?$10.67Jul 27, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.07Jul 27, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$1.07Jul 27, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$5.33Jul 27, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$5.30Jul 27, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$16.52Jul 27, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$10.36Jul 27, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.07Jul 27, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.07Jul 27, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$1.07Jul 27, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$5.29Jul 27, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$9.86Jul 27, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$5.17Jul 27, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$5.17Jul 27, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1.07Jul 27, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$1.07Jul 27, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$5.25Jul 27, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$11.56Jul 27, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$15.51Jul 27, 09:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 111 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
111 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $5.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 10:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 01:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 111 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.