Pertinent-Breakfast
0x7992af4217395aa07667e223e7b5b37ec0768002
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$17.24
Total PnL
$-8.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?
17 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$17.24
$12.24
- YES
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?
25 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.73
- YES
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
NHL Playoffs 1st Round: 3 first round upsets?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Haaland to break PL goal record this season?
7 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will crude oil hit $100 in 2023?
7 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2023$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?$4.73May 2, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?$5.00May 2, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?$5.00May 2, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNHL Playoffs 1st Round: 3 first round upsets?$5.00May 2, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEM NHL Playoffs: Oilers vs. Kings (To Advance)$19.73May 2, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Swift + Kelce break up by end of NFL season?$0.00May 2, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUY NHL Playoffs: Oilers vs. Kings (To Advance)$10.26Apr 29, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$10.26Apr 29, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$16.89Apr 29, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30?$0.00Dec 17, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30?$2.02Nov 22, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELL Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023?$2.02Nov 22, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win?$0.00Nov 22, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'The Marvels' gross more than $55 million domestically on its opening weekend?$0.00Nov 22, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUY Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023?$2.69Nov 22, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Swift + Kelce break up by end of NFL season?$2.00Oct 31, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'The Marvels' gross more than $55 million domestically on its opening weekend?$3.00Oct 31, 17:12 UTC
- REDEEMLions vs. Raiders$5.19Oct 31, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill crude oil hit $100 in 2023?$2.50Oct 30, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYLions vs. Raiders$4.00Oct 30, 17:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $5.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 17:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 20:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.