Colorful-Bijou
0x799393c8e8a00bd2e433f2830f037cb1f6329132
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$9.65
Total PnL
$-33.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.35
$0.01
- ZHU KANGJIE
UFC Fight Night: Zhu Kangjie vs. Ramon Taveras (Featherweight, Prelims)
7 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.30
$-0.07
- GORIMBO
Wells vs. Gorimbo
7 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.85
- FRUNZA
Radtke vs. Frunza
7 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-2.80
- UNDER
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5
7 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.23
- OVER
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5
7 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- MINNESOTA TWINS
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)
6 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- NUGGETS
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)
6 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.06
- BROWN
Brown vs. Bonfim
6 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.40
- OVER
Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 241.5
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Zhu Kangjie vs. Ramon Taveras (Featherweight, Prelims)$3.42May 26, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$6.34May 18, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5$4.20May 16, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)$1.96May 16, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5$3.28May 16, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMValentin vs. McVey$2.50May 15, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMEagles vs. Packers: 1H Moneyline$2.50May 15, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMCroden vs. Santos$2.50May 15, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMSharks vs. Wild: O/U 6.5$5.00May 15, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Wild (-1.5)$5.00May 15, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Packers (-1.5)$5.00May 15, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEM1H Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)$5.00May 15, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Magic (-3.5)$5.00May 15, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMDelija vs. Cortes-Acosta$6.00May 15, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMCuamba vs. Lee$6.00May 15, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUY1H Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)$2.50Nov 11, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Kings: O/U 241.5$2.55Nov 11, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSharks vs. Wild: O/U 6.5$2.50Nov 11, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Wild (-1.5)$2.75Nov 11, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Magic (-3.5)$1.96Nov 9, 19:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $412.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 20:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 26, 08:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.