Reasonable-Caravan
0x799a697a59072163acc63240df475527001bd567
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-79.69
Realised
$5.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Santa deliver fewer than 7,900,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
1440 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
334 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Nothing Ever Happens: MrBeast Edition
251 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will there be at least 2050 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
55 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$20.00Feb 28, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: MrBeast Edition$0.51Dec 28, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: MrBeast Edition$9.79Dec 28, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?$30.00Dec 26, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2050 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$20.00Dec 26, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: MrBeast Edition$10.00Dec 25, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 105.5 billion views by December 31? $69.23Dec 24, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 105.5 billion views by December 31? $18.65Dec 24, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 105.5 billion views by December 31? $7.63Dec 24, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 105.5 billion views by December 31? $10.00Dec 16, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Santa deliver fewer than 7,900,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?$10.00Dec 16, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$0.92Nov 30, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 30, 12:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $15.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 30, 12:46 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 19:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.