Compassionate-Equation
0x799b9f8756a249e5ca7922b99c7b5645168fc0b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-80.01
Realised
$-10.69
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on February 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C on February 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C on February 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on February 25?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 6?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on March 15?
11 shares @ 45.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on April 12?
9 shares @ 95.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 30?
9 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on March 30?
9 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.37
Recent activity
- TRADESELLArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance$3.96Jul 4, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance$3.02Jul 4, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance$1.01Jul 3, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Colombia win on 2026-06-17?$1.79Jun 18, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia win on 2026-06-17?$1.01Jun 18, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 88°F or higher on April 27?$7.00Apr 29, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 88°F or higher on April 27?$5.63Apr 27, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 88°F or higher on April 27?$1.16Apr 27, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 76°F or higher on April 23?$10.00Apr 26, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 76°F or higher on April 23?$9.80Apr 23, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 22?$10.00Apr 23, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 22?$9.80Apr 22, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 22?$10.00Apr 22, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 22?$9.77Apr 22, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 68-69°F on April 21?$8.30Apr 22, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 68-69°F on April 21?$4.89Apr 21, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 68-69°F on April 21?$3.25Apr 21, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 21?$9.99Apr 21, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 21?$9.70Apr 21, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 20?$9.99Apr 21, 01:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $6.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 12:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 00:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.