Grotesque-Park
0x79a1add83108bf46a043d2431c0c9008bffc8f88
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
53
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.7K
Realised
$-2.0K
Win rate
0%
53 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on May 17?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 29?
2636 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-146.09
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 10?
2249 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-184.88
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?
1860 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-39.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
1451 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 29?
1271 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-101.66
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on April 7?
939 shares @ 36.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-342.34
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 11?
928 shares @ 25.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-236.62
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?
852 shares @ 22.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-189.13
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 11?
851 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-219.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$7.33Aug 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above 64,200 on August 17, 9PM ET?$21.29Aug 18, 00:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$24.73Aug 17, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$10.42Aug 17, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above 64,200 on August 17, 7PM ET?$21.26Aug 17, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above 64,200 on August 17, 5PM ET?$6.39Aug 17, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 18?$6.10Aug 17, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 18?$35.02Aug 17, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 12?$8.55Aug 12, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 13?$26.60Aug 12, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 11?$31.40Aug 11, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$1.82Aug 11, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 10?$152.59Aug 10, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 10?$44.16Aug 10, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6?$9.58Aug 5, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$2.07Jul 29, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$2.06Jul 29, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$4.64Jul 29, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$0.00Jul 29, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$2.05Jul 29, 15:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 53 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
53 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $23.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 10:31 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 53 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.