Intent-Stop
0x79a1f5399df0aca9a7bbb69e42802016def09d4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-56.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 21?
435 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
109 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on January 31?
79 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.47
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 18?
63 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 19?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
54 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
14 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 21?$10.00Feb 18, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down on February 18?$42.78Feb 18, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 19?$5.00Feb 18, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 18?$2.00Feb 18, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on February 18?$10.00Feb 18, 09:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$2.55Feb 16, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$7.00Feb 16, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$2.00Feb 16, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$5.00Feb 16, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$5.00Feb 16, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$2.00Feb 16, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?$8.33Feb 13, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?$9.29Feb 13, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$2.00Feb 13, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$2.00Feb 12, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?$5.00Feb 12, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?$10.00Feb 12, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on January 31?$1.00Jan 31, 15:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$0.16Jan 31, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown last 2 days or more?$0.19Jan 31, 15:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $6.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 18:57 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 18, 17:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.