Lovely-Ephemera
0x79a53a5625f66ec987205ce0b5b08f5427e6dccc
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-176.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
907 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-41.70
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on January 31?
561 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
446 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Iran military response tonight?
97 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 5, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?
64 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris say "Obama" during DNC speech?
56 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$41.70Mar 17, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$20.00Jan 6, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLNikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?$10.04Nov 25, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by December 31?$50.00Oct 16, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on January 31?$50.00Jan 14, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lex podcast with Trump be over 90 minutes?$30.00Sep 3, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Obama" during DNC speech?$20.00Aug 23, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?$60.09Aug 6, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran military response tonight?$15.00Aug 5, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?$15.00Aug 2, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?$10.72Aug 1, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?$12.00Jul 30, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMBiden drops out of presidential race?$100.00Jul 21, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden drops out of presidential race?$88.00Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $32.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 02:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".