Superb-Ignorance
0x79aabd250dde34d1e10ba16342e5a5653ed575d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-320.62
Realised
$-125.78
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - January 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
278 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 9PM ET
276 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.37
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 11?
276 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.93
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on January 12?
275 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,500 and $3,600 on January 15?
273 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.77
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 11?
267 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.67
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 7?
264 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.70
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on January 2?
264 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.11
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on January 9?
263 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.58
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 December 29-January 4?
256 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 9?$243.54Jul 9, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 9?$241.59Jul 8, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $60 on June 9?$3.02Jun 9, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 4?$2.71Jun 4, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on June 2?$160.00Jun 2, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on June 2?$1.88Jun 1, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 31?$94.44Jun 1, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 31?$92.74May 30, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 25?$2.18May 24, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 24?$5.19May 23, 20:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 23?$79.71May 23, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 23?$0.13May 23, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 23?$77.67May 23, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 22?$2.34May 21, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 1?$17.50May 14, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 20?$71.36May 7, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 13?$0.00Apr 27, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 20?$0.18Apr 20, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 20?$69.97Apr 20, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 18?$1.47Apr 18, 15:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $39.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 09:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 16:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.