Clever-Millstone
0x79ae56f1c90d23843960a0085d2b403c7a69b9ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$837.60
Total PnL
$568.07
Realised
$-0.23
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will the CDU/CSU win by 6-8%?
370 shares @ 8.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$370.00
$339.80
- NO
Greens win over 15% of vote in German election?
160 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$160.00
$64.00
- YES
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
120 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$120.00
$63.60
- YES
Will the CDU/CSU win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
120 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$120.00
$80.40
- YES
Will the AfD win between 20% and 22% of the vote in the German election?
30 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$30.00
$21.90
- YES
US government shutdown Saturday?
12 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$11.54
$5.54
- YES
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
23 shares @ 13.2¢·now 22.1¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$5.03
$2.03
- YES
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
31 shares @ 12.7¢·now 15.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$4.71
$0.71
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.55
$2.55
- YES
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.93
$-1.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.04May 16, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.04May 16, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$2.04May 16, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1.07May 1, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$1.00May 1, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$1.00May 1, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$11.13May 1, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$2.00Apr 26, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 20 - 26)$0.00Apr 26, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 25, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$0.13Apr 25, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$3.00Apr 25, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 25, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$2.48Apr 25, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$1.00Apr 24, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$1.00Apr 24, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$3.00Apr 24, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$3.13Apr 24, 16:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 13:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 22:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".