0x79b422e5dc2db0dfd78159a75eac8402c91a696f
0x79b422e5dc2db0dfd78159a75eac8402c91a696f
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$6.62
Total PnL
$1.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 17?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$1.99
$0.99
- NO
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$1.27
$0.27
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$1.26
$0.26
- NO
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 Week of August 17 2026?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?$1.01Aug 17, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 Week of August 17 2026?$1.01Aug 17, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 17?$1.02Aug 16, 04:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during remarks in New York?$0.00Aug 15, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?$0.00Aug 15, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hottest" during remarks in New York?$1.30Aug 15, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?$0.00Aug 14, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?$1.01Aug 14, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during remarks in New York?$1.03Aug 14, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 14?$1.02Aug 14, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 13?$2.38Aug 13, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hottest" during remarks in New York?$1.01Aug 13, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 13?$1.02Aug 13, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$1.00Aug 12, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026?$1.01Aug 12, 13:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 12, 13:25 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 11:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.