Mealy-Triangle
0x79bca5db243896ae5b2206fa4a14f75669afd6dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$5.28
Total PnL
$-57.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
5 shares @ 91.4¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.28
$0.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 30?
2568 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?
33 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- PORTUGAL
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance
29 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?
14 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
- YES
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?
13 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.84
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
12 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?
10 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$116.28Jul 20, 01:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$7.14Jul 6, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 7?$5.19Jul 6, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.39Jul 6, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-07-09?$5.13Jul 6, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?$5.13Jul 6, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance$10.20Jul 6, 09:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $5.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 15:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.