Foolhardy-Search
0x79bd192b8b10527668473c0fb31d40a944a5bb3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$790.30
Total PnL
$-37.29
Realised
$-1.88
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Baidu have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
490 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$490.00
$0.49
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
300 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$300.30
$3.90
- YES
Will Elon tweet 205–219 times June 13–20?
438 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2025$0.00
$-27.52
- YES
Will @realDonaldTrump be suspended by Friday?
419 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-6.29
- YES
Will Michael La Sasso be the first round leader at the 2025 PGA TOUR 3M Open?
390 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
230 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.07
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
3 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$296.40Mar 29, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$489.51Mar 24, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?$468.12Nov 28, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?$469.06Nov 28, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$0.38Nov 28, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$2.28Nov 28, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia win Miss Universe 2025?$500.00Nov 22, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia win Miss Universe 2025?$497.50Nov 18, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$180.10Nov 13, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?$179.82Nov 6, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$79.68Oct 29, 15:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $130K in September?$270.00Oct 29, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $119K and $121K on August 4?$280.28Oct 29, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill PDC win the most seats in the next Bolivia Chamber of Deputies election?$448.50Oct 29, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$79.84Oct 27, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?$2.07Oct 5, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130K in September?$269.19Sep 26, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PDC win the most seats in the next Bolivia Chamber of Deputies election?$1.50Aug 12, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $119K and $121K on August 4?$276.92Aug 2, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael La Sasso be the first round leader at the 2025 PGA TOUR 3M Open?$3.90Jul 24, 10:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $300.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 03:05 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 07:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.