Deficient-Conga
0x79c13526aa6654a4e830e0e3078427e4231242ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-82.34
Win rate
0%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?
1250 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-162.50
- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?
750 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-45.00
- YES
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 England?
640 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-30.08
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?
602 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.19
- YES
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain?
580 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-40.60
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?
540 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.26
- YES
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?
500 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?
500 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?
428 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-34.27
- YES
Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal?
420 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-33.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?$35.22Jul 6, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: United States 1 - 1 Belgium?$71.80Jul 6, 21:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain?$41.73Jul 5, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?$166.74Jul 5, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?$46.27Jul 5, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 England?$30.94Jul 5, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Any Other Score?$0.87Jul 5, 21:35 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Norway?$2.00Jul 5, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?$0.36Jul 5, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?$109.33Jul 5, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?$3.41Jul 5, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?$82.02Jul 5, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Any Other Score?$33.88Jul 5, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Norway?$84.67Jul 5, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$701.71Jul 5, 10:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 3, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$294.87Jul 2, 07:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
52/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $66.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 06:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 21:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.