0x79caed38f923120e706d7a9c0bd695b0278f0d95
0x79caed38f923120e706d7a9c0bd695b0278f0d95
Wallet digest
Activity score
25/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$3.26
Total PnL
$-37.47
Realised
$-19.58
Win rate
9%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 80°F or higher on April 4?
3 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$3.26
$1.66
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on April 3?
138 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on April 1?
53 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.77
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 2?
45 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 2?
11 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 2?
9 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 3?
9 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 3?
5 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 3?
4 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?
4 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on April 3?$0.00Apr 14, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on April 3?$0.00Apr 14, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 80°F or higher on April 4?$0.00Apr 14, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 80°F or higher on April 4?$0.00Apr 14, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?$0.00Apr 14, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?$0.00Apr 14, 15:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 3?$0.00Apr 14, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 3?$0.00Apr 14, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 2?$0.00Apr 14, 15:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on April 1?$0.00Apr 14, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on April 3?$0.00Apr 14, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on April 3?$0.00Apr 14, 14:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 3?$0.00Apr 14, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 80°F or higher on April 4?$0.00Apr 14, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 80°F or higher on April 4?$0.00Apr 14, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?$0.00Apr 14, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?$0.00Apr 14, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 3?$0.00Apr 14, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 3?$0.00Apr 14, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 3?$0.00Apr 14, 14:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
9% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 14, 03:39 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 14, 15:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.