Ignorant-Verdict
0x79cf0f26f60d307a769483ad19866a905cff105a
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$166.74
Total PnL
$-20.11
Realised
$-3.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will ACT New Zealand win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
84 shares @ 91.1¢·now 80.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$67.31
$-9.34
- NO
Will Te Pāti Māori win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
68 shares @ 91.8¢·now 84.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$57.20
$-5.35
- NO
Will New Zealand First Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
25 shares @ 89.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$21.63
$-0.63
- YES
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
14 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$6.93
$-0.07
- NO
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
9 shares @ 72.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$5.37
$-1.30
- NO
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + Maori?
5 shares @ 90.9¢·now 60.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$3.01
$-1.53
- YES
Will voter turnout be between 82% and 84% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?
14 shares @ 2.0¢·now 17.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$2.49
$2.21
- NO
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?
3 shares @ 54.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.16
$0.60
- YES
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori + NZF?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand First Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$22.35Jun 17, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Te Pāti Māori win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$32.05Jun 16, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACT New Zealand win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$31.53Jun 16, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori + NZF?$1.04Jun 16, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + Maori?$4.56Jun 16, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be between 82% and 84% in the 2026 New Zealand general election?$0.29Jun 16, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACT New Zealand win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$15.08Jun 16, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Te Pāti Māori win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$30.70Jun 15, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.00Jun 15, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$7.13Jun 14, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACT New Zealand win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$30.31Jun 14, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$226.29Jun 14, 11:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$0.69Jun 14, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$0.68Jun 14, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$1.00Jun 14, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$1.00Jun 14, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$6.46Jun 14, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$7.28Jun 13, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$3.70Jun 6, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYChristopher Luxon out by September 30?$0.87May 31, 01:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $12.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 10:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 00:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.