Earnest-Rawhide
0x79dcb362c47ba851d75cf5873735391b2c81ca77
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
96
Open notional
$4.4K
Total PnL
$2.5K
Realised
$2.9K
Win rate
66%
73 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- YES
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
1250 shares @ 25.7¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$356.06
$35.29
- YES
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
1250 shares @ 18.8¢·now 22.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$275.00
$40.00
- NO
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
265 shares @ 93.9¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$262.77
$13.91
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
308 shares @ 81.1¢·now 84.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$261.13
$11.53
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
276 shares @ 90.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$255.46
$6.46
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
268 shares @ 93.1¢·now 95.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$254.15
$4.82
- NO
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
255 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$252.20
$3.19
- NO
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?
272 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$243.06
$-1.36
- NO
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
243 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$239.08
$3.04
- YES
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30?
300 shares @ 41.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$226.50
$103.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$35.77Jun 13, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$5.55Jun 13, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$11.36Jun 13, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$0.01Jun 13, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$255.82Jun 13, 05:29 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.50Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.21Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- REWARD$1.90Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$154.00Jun 12, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$18.24Jun 12, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$27.91Jun 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$179.45Jun 12, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?$5.94Jun 12, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$2.70Jun 12, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$9.68Jun 12, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$10.05Jun 12, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?$3.53Jun 12, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYGustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?$11.12Jun 12, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$6.26Jun 12, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$0.00Jun 12, 05:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $38.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 01:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 08:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 73 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.